Seth Godin wrote an interesting post on lessons learned from not understanding the next big thing:
The problem we have is not having the benefit of thinking about the future and discussing it with people of a like mind. Take the time.
But remember, new opportunities means new rules. In my case I figured out two major trends before they occurred:
- emergence of computer appliances
- cloud computing
And also figured out the general shape of the new rules. But timing is always an issue. And that's the difficult part. So you need to have a couple of different plans depending upon how quickly the market accepts the new change.
I've had years of training figuring out the new rules. I read science fiction (not fantasy) in which a new fact is introduced and a new society is developed. Want a little practice. Try watching this.